Substitution of White Meat for Red Meat and Diabetes Risk: A Prospective Cohort Study Stratified by Red Meat Intake.

Background/Objectives: Current evidence on the diabetes prevention benefit of substituting red meat with white meat remains inconsistent and is predominantly based on Western populations. This research examined whether the benefits of such dietary substitution depend on habitual red meat intake levels. Methods: This prospective analysis included 12,143 adults from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (2004-2015). Dietary intake was assessed by multiple 24 h recalls supplemented by a household food inventory. Incident diabetes was identified via self-report and supplementary biochemical data. Estimates of hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were obtained through Cox proportional hazards modeling. Dose-response relationships were examined using restricted cubic splines. Substitution effects were evaluated within strata defined by baseline red meat intake (