[Clinicopathologic characteristics of patients with ovarian metastases from colorectal cancer and construction of postoperative prognostic models].

Objective: To construct and validate a prognostic prediction model for patients with ovarian metastases from colorectal cancer after radical resection. Methods: A retrospective case series analysis was conducted on the clinical and pathological data of 81 patients with colorectal cancer and ovarian metastases who underwent radical resection for ovarian metastases at the Department of Colorectal Surgery, Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, between January 2014 and December 2023. The patients were all female, with an age (M(IQR)) of 49(13) years (range: 22 to 79 years). The primary tumor was located in the colon in 60 cases (74.1%) and in the rectum in 21 cases (25.9%). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identify independent risk factors affecting prognosis. A risk scoring system was constructed, and patients were assigned to high-risk and low-risk groups based on their risk scores. The predictive performance of the scoring system was assessed, and 5-fold cross-validation was performed to evaluate the model's stability on the internal dataset. Results: Among the 81 patients with ovarian metastases, a high proportion had T4 stage (58 cases, 71.6%), lymph node positivity (68 cases, 84.0%), and colon cancer (60 cases, 74.1%). Preoperative imaging suggested unilateral ovarian metastasis in 15 patients (23.4%), but pathological examination after bilateral oophorectomy confirmed bilateral ovarian metastases. Among the 17 patients who initially underwent unilateral oophorectomy, 11 developed contralateral ovarian metastases at varying times postoperatively. Univariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis revealed that positive lymph node ratio (HR=2.68,95%CI:1.41 to 5.09,P=0.003), N stage (HR=2.07,95%CI:1.08 to 3.95, P=0.028),maximum diameter of metastatic tumors (HR=2.27,95%CI:1.04 to 4.96, P=0.040),and peritoneal metastasis or ascites at the time of ovarian metastasis (HR=2.04,95%CI:1.02 to 4.08, P=0.043) were significantly associated with overall survival in patients with ovarian metastasis from colorectal cancer. Multivariate regression analysis identified that positive lymph node ratio (HR=3.34,95%CI:1.08 to 10.34, P=0.037) and maximum diameter of metastatic tumors (HR=2.65,95%CI:1.19 to 5.88, P=0.017) were independent prognostic factors for overall survival following radical oophorectomy in patients with ovarian metastasis from colorectal cancer. Based on the regression coefficients from the multivariate analysis for variables (ovarian metastatic tumor diameter ≥6 cm, positive lymph node ratio ≥0.3,and presence of peritoneal metastasis or ascites), a risk scoring system was developed. Using the optimal cutoff value (154 points) for the risk score,patients were divided into high-risk (19 cases) and low-risk (62 cases) groups. Kaplan-Meier survival curves demonstrated that the high-risk group had significantly lower median overall survival (27 months) and median disease-free survival (22 months) compared to the low-risk group (median overall survival 90 months,median disease-free survival not reached; both P