Abstract / Description
BackgroundTumour-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) are a robust prognostic marker in patients with triple-negative breast cancer. Artificial intelligence (AI)-derived computational tools assessing TILs could improve efficiency, but require independent validation against clinical outcomes. We aimed to compare the prognostic performance of AI-derived TIL scores with pathologist-scored TILs in a large, prospectively collected dataset pooled from randomised controlled trials.MethodsCATALINA was an independent, external validation study using prospectively collected long-term clinical outcome data pooled from seven randomised clinical trials conducted at multiple sites. We independently evaluated two previously validated AI pipelines that generate five computationally assessed tumour-infiltrating lymphocyte (cTIL) scores by masked, independent deployment of locked models. cTIL scores were correlated with the mean of the pathologist-scored stromal TILs (sTILs) in 220 digitised haematoxylin and eosin whole slide images in a cohort of patients with early-stage triple-negative or HER-2 positive breast cancer, previously scored by trained pathologists in a TIL-reproducibility study. Prognostic performance was assessed in a separate cohort of patients with early triple-negative breast cancer pooled from seven prospective, randomised adjuvant trials. Multivariable Cox regression models adjusted for clinicopathological factors and study heterogeneity assessed associations of cTIL score and sTIL score with invasive disease-free survival, distant disease-free survival, and overall survival. 5-year discrimination was estimated using time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).FindingsIndividual data were collated from 1759 patients, of whom 1356 had complete clinicopathological data, pathologist sTIL scores, and cTIL scores available. Modest correlation (r 0·375-0·473) was observed between cTIL scores and the mean pathologist sTIL score. Both sTIL and cTIL were independently associated with 5-year invasive disease-free survival, distant disease-free survival, and overall survival after adjustment for clinicopathological factors (hazard ratio for invasive disease-free survival was 0·73 [95% CI 0·66-0·82]; q